August 17, 2024 -
In a recent opinion poll conducted by Times Now and Matrize, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to retain power in Maharashtra. The survey results indicate that the NDA is likely to secure between 121 and 141 seats in the 288-member Maharashtra Legislative Assembly, placing it well ahead of the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), which is projected to win between 91 and 106 seats. The remaining 11 to 16 seats are expected to be captured by other parties.
### Party-wise Breakdown
The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the dominant force in the NDA, is predicted to win 95 to 105 seats. Shiv Sena, a key NDA ally, is forecasted to secure 19 to 24 seats, while the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) faction aligned with Ajit Pawar is expected to win between 7 and 12 seats.
On the MVA side, the Congress is likely to emerge as the largest party with 42 to 47 seats. The Shiv Sena (UBT) led by Uddhav Thackeray is projected to win 26 to 31 seats, while the Sharad Pawar-led NCP (SP) faction is expected to secure 23 to 28 seats.
### The Ladki Bahini Scheme Factor
A significant factor contributing to the NDA's projected success is the popular "Ladki Bahini" scheme, which has been a focal point of the alliance's campaign. According to the survey, 55% of respondents believe that this scheme, which is aimed at empowering women and girls, will benefit the NDA in the upcoming elections.
### Political Implications
If the opinion poll results translate into actual votes, the NDA would comfortably form the government in Maharashtra. The projected seat share reflects the NDA's continued stronghold in the state, despite the challenges posed by the MVA. The Ladki Bahini scheme, in particular, appears to have resonated with a significant portion of the electorate, further bolstering the NDA's prospects.
As the election season heats up, these poll results provide a snapshot of the current political landscape in Maharashtra. However, with several weeks left until the elections, all eyes will be on the campaign strategies of both the NDA and MVA as they vie for the support of the state's voters.
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